TY - JOUR U1 - Zeitschriftenartikel, wissenschaftlich - begutachtet (reviewed) A1 - Herzog, Bodo T1 - Optimal sequencing to reform the European Economic and Monetary Union: a roadmap JF - Quantiative finance and economics N2 - In this paper, we examine the political gridlock in reforming the Economic and Monetary Union. We utilize a two–stage game with imperfect information in order to study the optimal sequencing. The main results are: first, optimal sequencing requires for incompliant Member States a default option in stage–two, which in principle is related to the today's fiscal architecture (EMU-I). Second, we show that compliant countries prefer a reform equilibrium today if and only if they have a free choice about the preferred fiscal architecture at the end — either EMU-II with binding European coordination or EMU-I related to Maastricht. Noteworthy, our sequencing approach works for any design of the EMU-II architecture. KW - sequencing KW - EMU KW - fiscal governance KW - Maastricht KW - reforming Y1 - 2021 UN - https://nbn-resolving.org/urn:nbn:de:bsz:rt2-opus4-32302 SN - 2573-0134 SS - 2573-0134 U6 - https://doi.org/10.3934/QFE.2021014 DO - https://doi.org/10.3934/QFE.2021014 VL - 5 IS - 2 SP - 311 EP - 324 S1 - 14 PB - AIMS Press CY - Springfield ER -