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On the relevance of demand pattern categorization

  • The application of transfer learning to predict sales demand is an emerging topic that has been attracting more and more attention recently. However, the selection of data to be used for the learning process is not trivial. Data resources are usually scarce and often anonymized to a certain extent, so their usability for successful training is not guaranteed. One solution is to use already developed categorization schemes that group time series based on certain calculated parameters, but the derived categories do not necessarily capture the process of time series formation. This research addresses the question of whether categorization schemes are beneficial for transfer learning approaches by conducting an experiment in which Syntetos’, Boylan’s and Croston’s categorization scheme is used in combination with two deep learning architectures for the transfer learning process. The results show that similar patterns are indeed beneficial for prediction, but that models using all available data perform quite similarly.

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Metadaten
Author of HS ReutlingenGrimm, Florian; Straub, Tim; Bitsch, Günter
URN:urn:nbn:de:bsz:rt2-opus4-54487
URL:https://hdl.handle.net/10125/109017
ISSN:2572-6862
Erschienen in:Proceedings of the 58th Hawai'i International Conference on System Sciences (HICSS) : 7-10 January 2025, Hawai'i
Publisher:University of Hawai'i at Manoa
Place of publication:Manoa
Document Type:Conference proceeding
Language:English
Publication year:2025
Tag:demand pattern; forecasting; sales prediction; time series categorization; transfer learning
Page Number:9
First Page:1473
Last Page:1481
DDC classes:004 Informatik
Open access?:Ja
Licence (German):License Logo  Creative Commons - CC BY-NC-ND - Namensnennung - Nicht kommerziell - Keine Bearbeitungen 4.0 International