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As fuel prices climb and the global automotive sector migrates to more sustainable vehicle technologies, the future of South Africa’s minibus taxis is in flux. The authors’ previous research has found that battery electric technology struggles to meet all the mobility requirements of minibus taxis. They investigate the technical feasibility of powering taxis with hydrogen fuel cells instead. The following results are projected using a custom-built simulator, and tracking data of taxis based in Stellenbosch, South Africa. Each taxi requires around 12 kg of hydrogen gas per day to travel an average distance of 360 km. 465 kWh of electricity, or 860 m2 of solar panels, would electrolyse the required green hydrogen. An economic analysis was conducted on the capital and operational expenses of a system of ten hydrogen taxis and an electrolysis plant. Such a pilot project requires a minimum investment of € 3.8 million (R 75 million), for a 20 year period. Although such a small scale roll-out is technically feasible and would meet taxis’ performance requirements, the investment cost is too high, making it financially unfeasible. They conclude that a large scale solution would need to be investigated to improve financial feasibility; however, South Africa’s limited electrical generation capacity poses a threat to its technical feasibility. The simulator is uploaded at: https://gitlab.com/eputs/ev-fleet-sim-fcv-model.
The majority of people in sub-Saharan Africa (SSA) rely on so-called “paratransit” for their mobility needs. The term refers to a large informal transport sector that runs independent of government, of which 83% comprises minibus taxis (MBT). MBT technology is often old and contribute significantly to climate change with their high carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions. Issues related to sustainability and climate change are becoming more important world-wide and hardly any attention is given to MBTs. Converting the MBTs from internal combustion engines (ICEs) to electric motors could be a possible solution. The existing power grid in SSA is largely based on fossil power plants and is unstable. This can be seen by frequent local power blackouts. To avoid further strain on the existing power grid, it would therefore make sense to charge the electric minibus taxis (eMBTs) through a grid consisting of renewable energies. A mobility map is created via simulations with collected data points of the MBTs. By using this mobility map, the energy demand of the eMBTs is calculated. Furthermore, a region-specific photovoltaic (PV) and wind simulation can be realised based on existing weather data, and a tool to size the supply system to charge the eMBTs is developed after all data has been collected. With the help of this work, it can be determined to what extent renewable energies such as PV and wind power can be used to support the transition from ICEs to electric engines in the MBT sector.