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The aim of this paper is to show to what extent Artificial Intelligence can be used to optimize forecasting capability in procurement as well as to compare AI with traditional statistic methods. At the same time this article presents the status quo of the research project ANIMATE. The project applies Artificial Intelligence to forecast customer orders in medium-sized companies.
Precise forecasts are essential for companies. For planning, decision making and controlling. Forecasts are applied, e.g. in the areas of supply chain, production or purchasing. Medium-sized companies have major challenges in using suitable methods to improve their forecasting ability.
Companies often use proven methods such as classical statistics as the ARIMA algorithm. However, simple statistics often fail while applied for complex non-linear predictions.
Initial results show that even a simple MLP ANN produces better results than traditional statistic methods. Furthermore, a baseline (Implicit Sales Expectation) of the company was used to compare the performance. This comparison also shows that the proposed AI method is superior.
Until the developed method becomes part of corporate practice, it must be further optimized. The model has difficulties with strong declines, for example due to holidays. The authors are certain that the model can be further improved. For example, through more advanced methods, such as a FilterNet, but also through more data, such as external data on holiday periods.
Ever since the 1980s, researchers in computer science and robotics have been working on making autonomous cars. Due to recent breakthroughs in research and devel- opment, such as the Bertha Benz Project [ZBS+14], the goal of fully autonomous vehicles seems closer than ever before. Yet a lot of questions remain unanswered. Especially now that the automotive industry moves towards autonomous systems in series production vehicles, the task of precise localization has to be solved with automotive grade sensors and keep memory and processing consumption at a mini- mum. This thesis investigates the Simultaneous Localization and Mapping (SLAM) prob- lem for autonomous driving scenarios on a parking lot using low cost automotive sensors. The main focus is herby devoted to the RAdio Detection And Ranging (RADAR) sensor, which has not been widely analyzed in an autonomous driving scenario so far, even though they are abundant in the automotive industry for ap- plications such as Adaptive Cruise Control (ACC). Due to the high noise floor, the radar sensor has widely been disregarded in the Intelligent Transportation Systems and Robotics communities with regards to SLAM applications. However in this thesis, it is shown that the RADAR sensor proves to be an affordable, robust and precise sensor, when modeling its physical properties correctly. In this regard, a GraphSLAM based framework is introduced, which extracts features from the RADAR sensor and generates an optimized map of the surroundings using the RADAR sensor alone. This framework is used to enable crowd based localization, which is not limited to the RADAR sensor alone. By integrating an automotive Light Detection and Ranging (LiDAR) and stereo camera sensor, a robust and precise localization system can be built that that is suitable for autonomous driving even in complex parking lot scenarios. It it is thereby shown that the RADAR sensor is strongly contributing to obtaining good results in a sensor fusion setup. These results were obtained on an extensive dataset on a parking lot, which has been recorded over the course of several months. It contains different weather conditions, different configurations of parked cars and a multitude of different trajectories to validate the approaches described in this thesis and to come to the conclusion that the RADAR sensor is a reliable sensor in series autonomous driving systems, both in a multi sensor framework and as a single component for localization.
We propose a method for recognizing dynamic gestures using a 3D sensor. New aspects of the developed system include problem-adapted data conversion and compression as well as automatic detection of different variants of the same gesture via clustering with a suitable metric inspired by Jaccard metric. The combination of Hidden Markov Models and clustering leads to robust detection of different executions based on a small set of training data. We achieved an increase of 5% recognition rate compared to regular Hidden Markov Models. The system has been used for human-machine interaction and might serve as an assistive system in physiotherapy and neurological or orthopedic diagnosis.
Urban platforms are essential for smart and sustainable city planning and operation. Today they are mostly designed to handle and connect large urban data sets from very different domains. Modelling and optimisation functionalities are usually not part of the cities software infrastructure. However, they are considered crucial for transformation scenario development and optimised smart city operation. The work discusses software architecture concepts for such urban platforms and presents case study results on the building sector modelling, including urban data analysis and visualisation. Results from a case study in New York are presented to demonstrate the implementation status.
Additive manufacturing (AM) is a promising manufacturing method for many industrial sectors. For this application, industrial requirements such as high production volumes and coordinated implementation must be taken into account. These tasks of the internal handling of production facilities are carried out by the Production Planning and Control (PPC) information system. A key factor in the planning and scheduling is the exact calculation of manufacturing times. For this purpose we investigate the use of Machine Learning (ML) for the prediction of manufacturing times of AM facilities.
Die Erfindung betrifft ein Verfahren zur extrinsischen Kalibrierung wenigstens eines bildgebenden Sensors, wonach eine Pose des wenigstens einen bildgebenden Sensors relativ zu dem Ursprung (U) eines dreidimensionalen Koordinatensystems einer Handhabungseinrichtung mittels einer Recheneinrichtung bestimmt wird, wobei bekannte dreidimensionale Koordinaten betreffend die Position wenigstens eines Gelenks der Handhabungseinrichtung durch die Recheneinrichtung berücksichtigt werden, und wobei zweidimensionale Koordinaten betreffend die Position des wenigstens einen Gelenks anhand von Rohdaten des wenigstens einen bildgebenden Sensors ermittelt werden, und wobei die Recheneinrichtung die Pose des wenigstens einen bildgebenden Sensors anhand der Korrespondenz zwischen den zweidimensionalen Koordinaten und den dreidimensionalen Koordinaten bestimmt.
This study describes a non-contact measuring and system identification procedure for evaluating inhomogeneous stiffness and damping characteristics of the annular ligament in the physiological amplitude and frequency range without the application of large static external forces that can cause unnatural displacements of the stapes. To verify the procedure, measurements were first conducted on a steel beam. Then, measurements on an individual human cadaveric temporal bone sample were performed. The estimated results support the inhomogeneous stiffness and damping distribution of the annular ligament and are in a good agreement with the multiphoton microscopy results which show that the posterior-inferior corner of the stapes footplate is the stiffest region of the annular ligament.
In Folge der gegenwärtigen Digitalisierung in der produzierenden Industrie werden Anwendungen oder Services mit potentiell positiven Auswirkungen auf Faktoren wie Effektivität und Arbeitsqualität entwickelt. Ein geeigneter Ansatz zur Stärkung motivierender Aspekte im Arbeitskontext kann Gamification darstellen. In dieser Arbeit ist die initiale Konzeption und Evaluation eines Gamification-Ansatzes für Anwender eines KI-Service zur Maschinenoptimierung dargestellt und möglichen Anforderungen an ein Konzept zur Motivationssteigerung extrahiert.
In dieser Ausarbeitung wird eine zeitliche Vorhersage von Erdbeben getroffen. Hierfür werden mit einem Datensatz aus Labor-Erdbeben Convolutional Neural Networks (CNN) trainiert. Die trainierten Netzwerke geben Vorhersagen, indem sie einen Input an seismischen Daten klassifizieren. Durch das Klassifizieren kann das CNN die zeitliche Entfernung zum nächsten Erdbeben vorhersagen. Es werden hierfür zwei Ansätze miteinander verglichen. Beim ersten Ansatz werden die Originaldaten in ein CNN gegeben. Beim zweiten Ansatz wird vor dem CNN eine Vorverarbeitung der Daten mit den Mel Frequency Cepstral Coefficients (MFCC) durchgeführt. Es zeigt sich, dass mit beiden Ansätzen eine gute Klassifikation möglich ist. Die Kombination aus MFCC und CNN liefert die besseren quantitativen Ergebnisse. Hierbei konnte eine Genauigkeit von 65 % erreicht werden.