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Afrika ist aufgrund überdurchschnittlicher Wirtschaftswachstumsraten und als die weltweit letzten unbearbeiteten Märkte seit einigen Jahren ein populäres Thema der Wirtschaft. Deutsche Unternehmen sind allerdings mit ihrem Engagement auf den afrikanischen Märkten sehr zurückhaltend. So schwankt der Anteil der deutschen Exporte nach Afrika an den deutschen Gesamtexporten seit zehn Jahren um die zwei Prozent; betrachtet man nur Subsahara‐Afrika, so waren es sogar nur 0,5 % in 2014 (Allafi und Koch 2015, S. 3). Bezüglich der Direktinvestitionen (nur Beteiligungskapital, ohne Direktinvestitionskredite) spielt Afrika eine noch geringere Rolle mit nur 1,5 % aller deutschen Investitionen in 2014, wobei hiervon so gut wie alle nach Nordafrika und Südafrika geflossen sind (Deutsche Bundesbank 2015, S. 12 f.). Neben den Standardgründen wie beispielsweise politischen Risiken, schlechter Infrastruktur, schwacher institutioneller Rahmenbedingungen und Governance‐Problemen (vgl. zum Beispiel World Bank 2016a), ist ein gängiges Markteintrittsproblem die fehlende Verfügbarkeit von lokalen Partnern in den Bereichen Vertrieb, Logistik und teilweise auch Produktion (vgl. zum Beispiel Carlowitz und Röndigs 2016). Aktuell ist ein Markteintritt in Afrika ohne lokalen Partner aufgrund der völlig anderen und schwierigen Rahmenbedingungen fast unmöglich.
The success of an autonomous robotic system is influenced by several interdependent factors not easily identifiable. This paper is set to lay the foundation of a new integrated approach in order to deeply examine all the parameters and understand their contribution to success. After introducing the problem, two cutting edge autonomous systems for the process of unloading of containers will be presented. Then the STIC analysis, a recently developed method for modelling and interpreting all the parameters, will be introduced. The preliminary results of applying such a methodology to a first study case, based on one of the two systems available to the authors, will be shortly presented. Future research is in the end recommended in order to prove that this methodology is the only way to efficiently and effectively mitigate the risk that stops potential users from investing in autonomous systems in the logistics sector.
How to separate the wheat from the chaff: improved variable selection for new customer acquisition
(2017)
Steady customer losses create pressure for firms to acquire new accounts, a task that is both costly and risky. Lacking knowledge about their prospects, firms often use a large array of predictors obtained from list vendors, which in turn rapidly creates massive high-dimensional data problems. Selecting the appropriate variables and their functional relationships with acquisition probabilities is therefore a substantial challenge. This study proposes a Bayesian variable selection approach to optimally select targets for new customer acquisition. Data from an insurance company reveal that this approach outperforms nonselection methods and selection methods based on expert judgment as well as benchmarks based on principal component analysis and bootstrap aggregation of classification trees. Notably, the optimal results show that the Bayesian approach selects panel-based metrics as predictors, detects several nonlinear relationships, selects very large numbers of addresses, and generates profits. In a series of post hoc analyses, the authors consider prospects’ response behaviors and cross selling potential and systematically vary the number of predictors and the estimated profit per response. The results reveal that more predictors and higher response rates do not necessarily lead to higher profits.
New digital technologies present both game-changing opportunities for—and existential threats to—companies whose success was built in the pre-digital economy. This article describes our findings from a study of 25 companies that were embarking on digital transformation journeys. We identified two digital strategies—customer engagement and digitized solutions—that provide direction for a digital transformation. Two technology-enabled assets are essential for executing those strategies: an operational backbone and a digital services platform. We describe how a big old company can combine these elements to navigate its digital transformation.
Decreasing batch sizes in production in line with Industrie 4.0 will lead to tremendous changes of the control of logistic processes in future production systems. Intelligent bins are crucial enablers to establish decentrally controlled material flow systems in value chain networks as well as at the intralogistics level. These intelligent bins have to be integrated into an overall decentralized monitoring and control approach and have to interact with humans and other entities just like other cyber-physical systems (CPS) within the cyber-physical production system (CPPS). To realize a decentralized material supply following the overall aim of a decentralized control of all production and logistics processes, an intelligent bin system is currently developed at the ESB Logistics Learning Factory. This intelligent bin system will be integrated into the self developed, cloud-based and event-oriented SES system (so-called “Self Execution System”) which goes beyond the common functionalities and capabilities of traditional manufacturing execution systems (MES).
To ensure a holistic integration of the intelligent bin for different material types into the SES framework, the required hard- and software components for the decentrally controlled bin system will be split into a common and an adaptable component. The common component represents the localization and network layer which is common for every bin, whereas the flexible component will be customizable to different requirements, like to the specific characteristics of the parts.
Electronic word-of-mouth (eWoM) communication plays an increasingly important role in modern business. The underlying concept of word-of-mouth (WoM) communication is well researched and has proved highly significant in respect of its impact on customers purchase behavior. However, due to the advent of digital technologies, decision-making among customers is progressively shifting to the online world. Consequently, eWoM has received a lot of attention from the academic community. As multiple research papers focus on specific facets of eWoM, there is a need to integrate current research results systematically. Thus, this paper presents a scientific literature analysis in order to determine the current state-of-the-art in the field of eWoM. Five main research areas were analyzed, supporting the need for further eWoM studies and providing a structured overview of existing results.
Trotz größer werdendem Tenor, die Intuition als gewinnbringende Ergänzung zur rational geprägten Entscheidungskultur im Vertrieb zu implementieren, scheint dennoch Unsicherheit und Unwissenheit über den richtigen Umgang mit der Intuition seitens der Mitarbeiter und Mitarbeiterinnen vorzuherrschen. Durch die systematische Legitimierung der Intuition Vertrieb kann diesem Umstand entgegengewirkt werden.
In the lights of an increasing digitalization of companies, the sales process might experience changes in the usage and the influence of digital tools. In order to examine the status quo of German companies in this regard, a study was conducted between 235 participants. The results of this study will be outlined in the article at hand.