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The Commitment of Traders report (CoT) has been around for over 30 years, consistently revealing the futures positions of key market players. This study's primary aim is to use the comprehensive data from the Commitment of Traders reports to develop a short-term reversal trading strategy. Against the benchmark, a S&P 500 buy-and-hold approach with a Sharpe ratio of 1.07, the CoT long only strategy generated significant results in six individual markets. Extending the strategy to long-and-short, two markets outperformed the benchmark significantly. However, a scenario analysis indicated underperformance of the CoT strategy when traded in a portfolio, confirming that the chosen strategy parameters could not generate excess Sharpe ratios. Our results indicate that the Commodity Futures Trading Commission, more specifically the CoT report, contributed to efficient derivatives market.
Determinants of customer recovery in retail banking - lessons from a German banking case study
(2023)
Due to the increased willingness of retail banking customers to switch and churn their banking relationships, a question arises: Is it possible to win back lost customers, and if so, is such a possibility even desirable after all economic factors have been considered? To answer these questions, this paper examines selected determinants for the recovery of terminated customer–bank relationships from the perspective of former customers. This study therefore evaluates for the first time, empirically and systematically with reference to a German Sparkasse as a case-study setting, whether lost customers have a sufficient general willingness to return (GWR) a retail banking relationship. From our results, a correlation is shown between the GWR a banking relationship and some specific determinants: seeking variety, attractiveness of alternatives and customer satisfaction with the former business relationship. In addition, we show that a customer’s GWR varies depending on the reason for churn and is surprisingly greater when the customer defected for reasons that lie within the scope of the customer himself. Despite the case-study character, however, our results provide relevant insights for other banks and, in particular, this applies to countries with a comparable banking system.
AbstractThrough their procyclical behavior, loan loss provisions have been determined as one of the factors that contribute to financial instability during a crisis. IFRS 9 was introduced in 2018 with an expected credit loss model replacing the incurred loss model of IAS 39 to mitigate the effect in the future. Our study aims to analyze loan loss provisions of major banks in the Eurozone to determine for the first time if the implementation of IFRS 9, as intended by regulators, has a dampening effect on procyclicality, especially during the stressed situation under COVID‐19. We analyze 51 banks from 12 countries of the European Monetary Union using 2856 firm‐year observations. While no robust evidence of less procyclicality can be found after the implementation of IFRS 9 until the pandemic, we find evidence that loan loss provisions moved countercyclical during 2020, indicating an alleviating effect at the beginning of the exogenous shock.
In today's business landscape, companies compete more and more as integrated supply chains rather than as individual firms. The success of the entire supply chain determines the economic well-being of each company involved. With management attention shifting to supply chains, the role of management accounting naturally must extend to the cross-company layer as well. This book demonstrates how management accounting can make a significant contribution to supply chain success. It targets students who are already familiar with the fundamentals of accounting and want to extend their expertise in the field of cross-company (or network) management accounting. Practitioners will draw valuable insights from the text as well.
This second edition includes a new chapter on Digitalization and Supply Chain Accounting, as well as new opener cases to each chapter that provide real-world examples.
This study empirically analyzes and compares return data from developed and emerging market data based on the Fama French five-factor model and compares it to previous results from the Fama French three-factor model by Kostin, Runge and Adams (2021). It researches whether the addition of the profitability and investment pattern factors show superior results in the assessment of emerging markets during the COVID-19 pandemic compared to developed markets. We use panel data covering eight indices of developed and emerging countries as well as a selection of eight companies from these markets, covering a period from 2000 to 2020. Our findings suggest that emerging markets do not generally outperform developed markets. The results underscore the need to reconsider the assumption that adding more factors to regression models automatically yields results that are more reliable. Our study contributes to the extant literature by broadening this research area. It is the first study to compare the performance of the Fama French three-factor model and the Fama French five-factor model in the cost of equity calculation for developed and emerging countries during the COVID-19 pandemic and other crisis events of the past two decades.
This study examines the relevance of integrated reporting quality (IRQ) to capital markets. We investigate whether IRQ benefits capital market participants by improving a firm's information environment, using analyst earnings forecast accuracy as a proxy. Our study focuses specifically on companies that publish integrated reports on a voluntary basis. Based on a scoring model, we assess IRQ and its effects with data from 2015 to 2019 of 101 companies. The results indicate no significant relationship between IRQ and analyst earnings forecast accuracy. Thus, IRQ does not appear to improve a firm's information environment, at least not currently in a voluntary setting. Drawing on previous literature in the field, this study further concludes that integrated reporting (IR) in general has not yet reached its full potential in benefitting capital markets. Potential implications of our results are that the standard setters should work to improve the specificity and rigor of their guidelines, and analysts should become more involved in developing IR guidelines to make them more relevant to their information needs. IR seems to unfold its benefits better in mandatory settings, which could call for regulators to make IR mandatory.
Von den Covid-19-Restriktionen wurden im Automobilsektor die Zulieferer wesentlich stärker getroffen als die Fahrzeughersteller. Vor allem die Entwicklung des Working Capitals im ersten Pandemie-Jahr erwies sich als kritisch. Der Beitrag gibt einen Überblick über mögliche Lösungen für eine allseits vorteilhaftere, stabile Supply-Chain-Finanzierung in künftigen Krisen.
Der Beitrag befasst sich mit den wirtschaftlichen Auswirkungen auf Unternehmen der deutschen Automobilbranche in Folge der behördlichen Restriktionen im Rahmen der Corona-Pandemie. Untersuchungszeitraum ist das Jahr 2020 auf Quartalsebene. Unsere Auswertung zeigt, dass die Zulieferer von der Pandemie wesentlich stärker getroffen wurden als die Hersteller der Branche. Ebenso konnte eine zeitliche Wellenbewegung der Negativentwicklung entlang der Wertschöpfungskette festgestellt werden. Der Beitrag zeigt Instrumente der Supply-Chain-Finanzierung auf, die sowohl kurzfristige Erleichterungen in Krisenzeiten als auch langfristige Möglichkeiten der Working Capital Optimierung darstellen.
Initial Coin Offerings (ICOs) haben in jüngerer Vergangenheit ein bedeutsames Volumen im Rahmen der Emissionsfinanzierung erlangt. Sie basieren im Wesentlichen auf der Blockchain-Technologie, besitzen aber gleichzeitig typische Charakteristika von Finanzierungsinstrumenten aus der „analogen Welt“. Dieser Beitrag stellt die Varianten von Coins bzw. Token zunächst dar und zeigt darauf aufbauend die inhaltliche Verbindung zu analogen Finanzierungsinstrumenten und deren Systematisierung im Kontext der Unternehmensfinanzierung auf. Dies ermöglicht sowohl Investoren als auch Emittenten einen Vergleich zwischen diesen neuartigen Finanzierungsalternativen und den klassischen Finanzierungsinstrumenten. Unser Beitrag zeigt, dass auch in der Welt der Token der Dreigliederung aus Eigen-, Fremd- und Mezzaninfinanzierung im Hinblick auf ihre Ausgestaltung gefolgt werden kann, die Instrumente jedoch durchgehend der Außenfinanzierung zuzuordnen sind. Eine besondere hybride Stellung nehmen Nutzungstoken ein, die bereits aufgrund Ihrer Grundstruktur im Vorhinein nicht eindeutig einer Kapitalart zugeordnet werden können.