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Chinas Subsahara-Afrika-Engagement : Chancen und Herausforderungen für die bayerische Wirtschaft
(2022)
Afrika ist ein attraktiver Markt, auch für bayerische Unternehmen
Die Studie zeigt die Attraktivität der Zukunftsmärkte in Subsahara-Afrika für die bayerische Wirtschaft auf. Trotz einiger Herausforderungen und aktuell noch kleinen, aber profitablen Märkten sind viele Länder der Region aufgrund ihrer enormen Wachstumsdynamik grundsätzlich attraktiv für ein geschäftliches Engagement.
Auch die Volksrepublik China hat die Bedeutung Afrikas erkannt und ist seit dem Jahr 2000 verstärkt politisch und wirtschaftlich in Afrika aktiv. Die Initiativen im Rahmen des Forum on China and African Cooperation (FOCAC) und der Belt and Road Initiative bewegten chinesische Firmen seit 2013 zu einem verstärkten Afrikaengagement, das häufig durch massive Subventionierung und politische Flankierung begleitet wird. Im Infrastrukturbereich dominieren inzwischen chinesische Unternehmen. Das sollte von nicht-chinesischen Unternehmen akzeptiert werden. Die letzte FOCAC-Konferenz in Dakar im Jahr 2021 zeigte allerdings einen deutlichen Rückgang der Kredit- und Finanzierungszusagen, was sowohl durch statistische Daten, die einen Rückgang der Finanzierungsflüsse seit 2016 verzeichnen, als auch durch die Experteninterviews bestätigt wurde.
Ein Umgang mit dem chinesischen Wettbewerb sowie Ansatzpunkte für Geschäftsbeziehungen müssen gefunden werden. Auf Basis von Experteninterviews analysiert die Studie die vielschichtigen Implikationen und Handlungsoptionen der bayerischen Wirtschaft in Subsahara-Afrika vor dem Hintergrund der chinesischen Wirtschaftspräsenz. Bei der Analyse wird grundsätzlich differenziert, ob die chinesischen Firmen Wettbewerber oder Kunden bzw. potenzielle Partner sind.
– Auf der einen Seite sind chinesische Firmen oftmals Wettbewerber. Gerade bei Infrastrukturprojekten haben sie Wettbewerbsvorteile durch den niedrigen Preis und die günstige Finanzierung, die häufig von chinesischen Banken wie der Exim-Bank bereitgestellt wird. Gleichzeitig werden die Kredite der chinesischen Banken ohne komplexe Bedingungen für die afrikanischen Regierungen bzw. Auftraggeber vergeben. Neben diesen Wettbewerbsvorteilen wurden auch Wettbewerbsnachteile identifiziert. So offenbaren Infrastrukturprojekte und chinesische Produkte häufig eine niedrige Qualität, was bei großen Infrastrukturprojekten oft ein Resultat des niedrigen Preises ist. Außerdem bieten chinesische Unternehmen nach wie vor wenige After Sales Dienstleistungen an.
– Auf der anderen Seite können chinesische Unternehmen auch Kunden und Partner bayerischer Unternehmen sein. Im Ausschreibungsgeschäft, vor allem im Infrastrukturbereich, sind die Gewinn-Chancen nicht-chinesischer Firmen maßgeblich von der Quelle der Finanzierung abhängig. Sofern China die Finanzierung bereitstellt, finden sich allenfalls Einzelfälle von Zulieferungen durch nicht-chinesische Firmen. Bei den internationalen Ausschreibungen durch die African Development Bank oder Weltbank stehen die Chancen für nicht-chinesische Firmen gut, wenn in den Entscheidungskriterien die Qualität stärker als der Preis gewichtet wird. Die besten Chancen ergeben sich durch europäische Entwicklungsbanken bzw. bei privatwirtschaftlicher Finanzierung. Daher ist es für den Geschäftserfolg wichtig, die richtigen Ausschreibungen und Finanzierungsquellen auszuwählen.
Für den vertrieblichen Erfolg beim Geschäft mit chinesischen Unternehmen in Subsahara-Afrika sollte idealerweise ein Ansatz auf vier Ebenen verfolgt werden.
– Zum einen ist eine Unternehmenspräsenz in China bei den Firmenzentralen wichtig, da dort in den meisten Fällen die Beschaffung für Projekte in Subsahara-Afrika erfolgt. Deshalb sollten bayerische Unternehmen, wenn sie in China vor Ort sind, das Afrikageschäft mit chinesischen Partnern in Gesprächen mitberücksichtigen. Dabei hilft eine eigene Tochtergesellschaft in China oder regelmäßige Besuche des Top-Managements bei bestehenden und potenziellen Partnern.
– Zum anderen ist eine Vor-Ort-Präsenz in den wichtigsten Märkten Subsahara-Afrikas aus mehreren Gründen von Vorteil. Erstens, um mit den örtlichen Niederlassungen chinesischer Baufirmen zusammenzuarbeiten.
– Zweitens bietet die Präsenz in den afrikanischen Märkten die Möglichkeit, die afrikanischen Auftraggeber – zumeist staatliche Institutionen – von den Vorteilen eines bayerischen bzw. deutschen Projektanteils zu überzeugen.
– Drittens können lokal ansässige, chinesische Händler durch eine lokale Präsenz besser von bayerischen Unternehmen adressiert werden.
Im operativen Geschäft in den Märkten Subsahara-Afrikas sollten idealerweise Mitarbeiter mit Chinaerfahrung und chinesischen Sprachkenntnissen den Vertrieb bei den chinesischen Firmen und Partnern bestreiten. Es sollten auch die entsprechenden Kommunikationsmittel, wie WeChat, verwendet werden. Zudem ist es von großer Bedeutung, ein Vertrauensverhältnis zu den chinesischen Firmen aufzubauen. Dies steigert die Chancen auf weitere geschäftliche Beziehungen.
Zusammenfassend lässt sich sagen, dass die Präsenz der chinesischen Firmen zu Herausforderungen für das Afrikageschäft bayerischer Unternehmen führt. Gleichzeitig eröffnen sich aber auch Geschäftspotenziale. Es ist wichtig – je nach Branche und Set-Up des Unternehmens – die erwähnten Erfolgsfaktoren zu berücksichtigen. Dann bestehen durchaus Geschäftsmöglichkeiten – sei es im Wettbewerb mit den chinesischen Unternehmen oder als Partner und Lieferant der chinesischen Firmen.
Das Buch untersucht die Umsetzung der Seidenstraßeninitiative (BRI) in Ostafrika. Die BRI gilt als das zentrale geopolitische und geoökonomische Vorhaben Chinas in der Ära von Präsident Xi Jinping. Durch die Arbeit soll ein Beitrag zur Schließung einiger Forschungslücken geleistet werden, etwa die mangelnde Tiefe von Untersuchungen einzelner BRI-Projekte und die Unterberücksichtigung von Verarbeitungsnarrativen in den teilnehmenden Ländern. Die Leitfrage ist, inwiefern die BRI ein politisches bzw. hegemoniales Projekt des von der KPCh gelenkten Staats-Zivilgesellschafts-Komplexes in Ostafrika ist. Zu deren Beantwortung werden Datenbanken internationaler Organisationen und Policy-Dokumente ausgewertet. Außerdem führt der Verfasser eine qualitative Inhaltsanalyse von Zeitungsartikeln lokaler Medienhäuser in den Ländern Äthiopien, Kenia und Tansania durch, um drei Infrastrukturprojekte zu untersuchen. Die Arbeit verdeutlicht, dass die BRI zur Steigerung der Konnektivität in Ostafrika beiträgt. Gleichzeitig führen die Verdichtung der ökonomischen Beziehungen und die Implementierung der Infrastrukturvorhaben in Ostafrika zu zahlreichen Konsequenzen und konturieren ein hegemoniales Projekt.
Handling complexity in modern software engineering : editorial introduction to issue 32 of CSIMQ
(2022)
The potential of the Internet and related digital technologies, such as the Internet of Things (IoT), cognition and artificial intelligence, data analytics, services computing, cloud computing, mobile systems, collaboration networks, and cyber-physical systems, are both strategic drivers and enablers of modern digital platforms with fast-evolving ecosystems of intelligent services for digital products. This issue of CSIMQ presents three recent articles on modern software engineering. First, we focus on continuous software development and place it in the context of software architectures and digital transformation. The first contribution is followed by the description of the basis of specific security requirements and adequate digital monitoring mechanisms. Finally, we present a practical example of the digital management of livestock farming.
Intraoperative imaging can assist neurosurgeons to define brain tumours and other surrounding brain structures. Interventional ultrasound (iUS) is a convenient modality with fast scan times. However, iUS data may suffer from noise and artefacts which limit their interpretation during brain surgery. In this work, we use two deep learning networks, namely UNet and TransUNet, to make automatic and accurate segmentation of the brain tumour in iUS data. Experiments were conducted on a dataset of 27 iUS volumes. The outcomes show that using a transformer with UNet is advantageous providing an efficient segmentation modelling long-range dependencies between each iUS image. In particular, the enhanced TransUNet was able to predict cavity segmentation in iUS data with an inference rate of more than 125 FPS. These promising results suggest that deep learning networks can be successfully deployed to assist neurosurgeons in the operating room.
Glioblastomas are the most aggressive fast-growing primary brain cancer which originate in the glial cells of the brain. Accurate identification of the malignant brain tumor and its sub-regions is still one of the most challenging problems in medical image segmentation. The Brain Tumor Segmentation Challenge (BraTS) has been a popular benchmark for automatic brain glioblastomas segmentation algorithms since its initiation. In this year, BraTS 2021 challenge provides the largest multi-parametric (mpMRI) dataset of 2,000 pre-operative patients. In this paper, we propose a new aggregation of two deep learning frameworksnamely, DeepSeg and nnU-Net for automatic glioblastoma recognition in pre-operative mpMRI. Our ensemble method obtains Dice similarity scores of 92.00, 87.33, and 84.10 and Hausdorff Distances of 3.81, 8.91, and 16.02 for the enhancing tumor, tumor core, and whole tumor regions, respectively, on the BraTS 2021 validation set, ranking us among the top ten teams. These experimental findings provide evidence that it can be readily applied clinically and thereby aiding in the brain cancer prognosis, therapy planning, and therapy response monitoring. A docker image for reproducing our segmentation results is available online at (https://hub.docker.com/r/razeineldin/deepseg21).
Purpose
Artificial intelligence (AI), in particular deep neural networks, has achieved remarkable results for medical image analysis in several applications. Yet the lack of explainability of deep neural models is considered the principal restriction before applying these methods in clinical practice.
Methods
In this study, we propose a NeuroXAI framework for explainable AI of deep learning networks to increase the trust of medical experts. NeuroXAI implements seven state-of-the-art explanation methods providing visualization maps to help make deep learning models transparent.
Results
NeuroXAI has been applied to two applications of the most widely investigated problems in brain imaging analysis, i.e., image classification and segmentation using magnetic resonance (MR) modality. Visual attention maps of multiple XAI methods have been generated and compared for both applications. Another experiment demonstrated that NeuroXAI can provide information flow visualization on internal layers of a segmentation CNN.
Conclusion
Due to its open architecture, ease of implementation, and scalability to new XAI methods, NeuroXAI could be utilized to assist radiologists and medical professionals in the detection and diagnosis of brain tumors in the clinical routine of cancer patients. The code of NeuroXAI is publicly accessible at https://github.com/razeineldin/NeuroXAI.
Purpose
Artificial intelligence (AI), in particular deep learning (DL), has achieved remarkable results for medical image analysis in several applications. Yet the lack of human-like explanations of such systems is considered the principal restriction before utilizing these methods in clinical practice (Yang, Ye, & Xia, 2022).
Methods
Explainable Artificial Intelligence (XAI) provides a human-explainable and interpretable description of the “black-box” nature of DL (Gulum, Trombley, & Kantardzic, 2021). An effective XAI diagnosis generator, namely NeuroXAI (refer to Fig. 1), has been developed to extract 3D explanations from convolutional neural networks (CNN) models of brain gliomas (Zeineldin et al., 2022). By providing visual justification maps, NeuroXAI can help make DL models transparent and thus increase the trust of medical experts.
Results
NeuroXAI has been applied to two applications of the most widely investigated problems in brain imaging analysis, i.e. image classification and segmentation using magnetic resonance imaging (MRI). Visual attention maps of multiple XAI methods have been generated and compared for both applications, which could help to provide transparency about the performance of DL systems.
Conclusion
NeuroXAI helps to understand the prediction process of 3D CNN networks for brain glioma using human-understandable explanations. Results revealed that the investigated DL models behave in a logical human-like manner and can improve the analytical process of the MRI images systematically. Due to its open architecture, ease of implementation, and scalability to new XAI methods, NeuroXAI could be utilized to assist medical professionals in the detection and diagnosis of brain tumors. NeuroXAI code is publicly accessible at https://github.com/razeineldin/NeuroXAI
The general conclusion of climate change studies is the necessity of eliminating net CO2 emissions in general and from the electric power systems in particular by 2050. The share of renewable energy is increasing worldwide, but due to the intermittent nature of wind and solar power, a lack of system flexibility is already hampering the further integration of renewable energy in some countries. In this study, we analyze if and how combinations of carbon pricing and power-to-gas (PtG) generation in the form of green power-to-hydrogen followed by methanation (which we refer to as PtG throughout) using captured CO2 emissions can provide transitions to deep decarbonization of energy systems. To this end, we focus on the economics of deep decarbonization of the European electricity system with the help of an energy system model. In different scenario analyses, we find that a CO2 price of 160 €/t (by 2050) is on its own not sufficient to decarbonize the electricity sector, but that a CO2 price path of 125 (by 2040) up to 160 €/t (by 2050), combined with PtG technologies, can lead to an economically feasible decarbonization of the European electricity system by 2050. These results are robust to higher than anticipated PtG costs.
Lehrbuch zur CAD-Software Creo Parametric und zur Produktdatenverwaltung mit Windchill.
3D-Volumenmodellierung, 3D-Flächenmodellierung, Blechmodellierung, Baugruppen- und Zeichnungserstellung, Definition von Normteilen, Erstellen von Animationen und dynamischen Analysen.
Verfahren zum Umgang mit großen Baugruppen und zur flexiblen Modellierung, Konstruk-tionsvarianten "Top-Down" und "Bottom-Up", Organisation von Konstruktionsprojekten über Skeletttechnik.
Neu: Konstruktion von und mit Mehrkörperobjekten, Rahmenkonstruktion in der Profilumgebung (AFX), intelligente Verbindungen (IFX), Live Simulation und Generatives Design.
The world population is growing and alternative ways of satisfying the increasing demand for meat are being explored, such as using animal cells for the fabrication of cultured meat. Edible biomaterials are required as supporting structures. Hence, we chose agarose, gellan and a xanthan-locust bean gum blend (XLB) as support materials with pea and soy protein additives and analyzed them regarding material properties and biocompatibility. We successfully built stable hydrogels containing up to 1% pea or soy protein. Higher amounts of protein resulted in poor handling properties and unstable gels. The gelation temperature range for agarose and gellan blends is between 23–30 °C, but for XLB blends it is above 55 °C. A change in viscosity and a decrease in the swelling behavior was observed in the polysaccharide-protein gels compared to the pure polysaccharide gels. None of the leachates of the investigated materials had cytotoxic effects on the myoblast cell line C2C12. All polysaccharide-protein blends evaluated turned out as potential candidates for cultured meat. For cell-laden gels, the gellan blends were the most suitable in terms of processing and uniform distribution of cells, followed by agarose blends, whereas no stable cell-laden gels could be formed with XLB blends.
We propose a novel technique to compensate the effects of R-C / gm-C time-constant (TC) errors due to process variation in continuous-time delta-sigma modulators. Local TC error compensation factors are shifted around in the modulator loop to positions where they can be implemented efficiently with tunable circuit structures, such as current-steering digital-to-analog converters (DAC). This approach constitutes an alternative or supplement to existing compensation techniques, including capacitor or gm tuning. We apply the proposed technique to a third-order, single-bit, low-pass continuous-time delta-sigma modulator in cascaded integrator feedback structure. A feedback path tuning scheme is derived analytically and confirmed numerically using behavioral simulations. The modulator circuit was implemented in a 0.35-μm CMOS process using an active feedback coefficient tuning structure based on current-steering DACs. Post-layout simulations show that with this tuning structure, constant performance and stable operation can be obtained over a wide range of TC variation.
Verification of an active time constant tuning technique for continuous-time delta-sigma modulators
(2022)
In this work we present a technique to compensate the effects of R-C / g m -C time-constant (TC) errors due to process variation in continuous-time delta-sigma modulators. Local TC error compensation factors are shifted around in the modulator loop to positions where they can be implemented efficiently with finely tunable circuit structures, such as current-steering digital-to-analog converters (DAC). We apply our technique to a third-order, single-bit, low-pass continuous-time delta-sigma modulator in cascaded integrator feedback structure, implemented in a 0.35-μm CMOS process. A tuning scheme for the reference currents of the feedback DACs is derived as a function of the individual TC errors and verified by circuit simulations. We confirm the tuning technique experimentally on the fabricated circuit over a TC parameter variation range of ±20%. Stable modulator operation is achieved for all parameter sets. The measured performances satisfy the expectations from our theoretical calculations and circuit-level simulations.
With the digital transformation, companies will experience a change that focuses on shaping the organization into an agile organizational form. In today's competitive and fast-moving business environment, it is necessary to react quickly to changing market conditions. Agility represents a promising option for overcoming these challenges. The path to an agile organization represents a development process that requires consideration of countless levels of the enterprise. This paper examines the impact of digital transformation on agile working practices and the benefits that can be achieved through technology. To enable a solution for today's so-called VUCA (Volatility, Uncertainty, Complexity und Ambiguity) world, agile ways of working can be applied project management requires adaptation. In the qualitative study, expert interviews were conducted and analyzed using the grounded theory method. As a result, a model can be presented that shows the influencing factors and potentials of agile management in the context of the digital transformation of medium-sized companies.
Mobile apps for sustainability in grocery shopping: increasing acceptance through gameification
(2022)
Sustainability has become an important topic in social sciences research as well as in the societal debate. Research in general indicates a high sensitivity of sustainability issues in broad parts of the society, however a change of consumption habits can hardly be overserved. It can be argued that technology, such as mobile apps, can play an important role to increase more sustainable behaviors and consumption habits, as they facilitate such behaviors, bring transparency to an unclear field and reduce complexity. Our research hence approaches an important research gap, especially as currently existing apps show a lack of functionalities and UX. By using a Design Science Research (DSR) approach applying Chou’s Octalysis framework, we systematically analyzed eight apps in the field of sustainability and two general gamification apps as reference points complementing our findings with issues discussed in literature and could identify a broad range of functionalities. This comprehensive analysis allowed us to develop an initial mockup of a potential app, which then was tested within a user-group of ten users by using a semi structured interview approach. Our findings contribute to knowledge by highlighting the importance of user experience on the acceptance of mobile apps, as well as, by showcasing how gamification can contribute to a sustained use of mobile apps in this specific context.
Adoption of artificial intelligence (AI) has risen sharply in recent years but many firms are not successful in realising the expected benefits or even terminate projects before completion. While there are a number of previous studies that highlight challenges in AI projects, critical factors that lead to project failure are mostly unknown. The aim of this study is therefore to identify distinct factors that are critical for failure of AI projects. To address this, interviews with experts in the field of AI from different industries are conducted and the results are analyzed using qualitative analysis methods. The results show that both, organizational and technological issues can cause project failure. Our study contributes to knowledge by reviewing previously identified challenges in terms of their criticality for project failure based on new empirical data, as well as, by identifying previously unknown factors.
For collision and obstacle avoidance as well as trajectory planning, robots usually generate and use a simple 2D costmap without any semantic information about the detected obstacles. Thus a robot’s path planning will simply adhere to an arbitrarily large safety margin around obstacles. A more optimal approach is to adjust this safety margin according to the class of an obstacle. For class prediction, an image processing convolutional neural network can be trained. One of the problems in the development and training of any neural network is the creation of a training dataset. The first part of this work describes methods and free open source software, allowing a fast generation of annotated datasets. Our pipeline can be applied to various objects and environment settings and is extremely easy to use to anyone for synthesising training data from 3D source data. We create a fully synthetic industrial environment dataset with 10 k physically-based rendered images and annotations. Our da taset and sources are publicly available at https://github.com/LJMP/synthetic-industrial-dataset. Subsequently, we train a convolutional neural network with our dataset for costmap safety class prediction. We analyse different class combinations and show that learning the safety classes end-to-end directly with a small dataset, instead of using a class lookup table, improves the quantity and precision of the predictions.
There have been substantial research efforts for algorithms to improve continuous and automated assessment of various health-related questions in recent years. This paper addresses the deployment gap between those improving algorithms and their usability in care and mobile health applications. In practice, most algorithms require significant and founded technical knowledge to be deployed at home or support healthcare professionals. Therefore, the digital participation of persons in need of health care professionals lacks a usable interface to use the current technological advances. In this paper, we propose applying algorithms taken from research as web-based microservices following the common approach of a RESTful service to bridge the gap and make algorithms accessible to caregivers and patients without technical knowledge and extended hardware capabilities. We address implementation details, interpretation and realization of guidelines, and privacy concerns using our self-implemented example. Also, we address further usability guidelines and our approach to those.
Mit den Aufgaben und Fallstudien des Übungsbuchs lassen sich die zentralen Kapitel und Themen des Lehrbuchs gezielt wiederholen und vertiefen. Es bietet zu jedem Werkzeug Aufgaben und Fragestellungen aus der Praxis. Zusätzlich werden komplexe Anwendungsfälle namhafter deutscher und internationaler Unternehmen wie Ernst & Young, HUGO BOSS, Alfred Kärcher und Bayer angeboten.
Externe Ladeinfrastruktur kann rechtskonform aus dem Stromnetz einer öffentlichen Liegenschaft versorgt werden. Bisher war die Vorgabe, die Versorgung über einen eigenen (neuen) Netzanschlusspunkt zu realisieren. Die hier vorgestellte Lösung ist ökologisch, wirtschaftlich und technisch deutlich günstiger und dient als Muster für die weitere Erschließung landeseigenen Parkraums in ganz Baden-Württemberg. Ein virtuelles Kraftwerk ermöglicht den gemeinschaftsdienlichen Betrieb.
Monitoring tautomerization of single hypericin molecules in a tunable optical λ/2 microcavity
(2022)
Hypericin tautomerization that involves the migration of the labile protons is believed to be the primary photophysical process relevant to its light-activated antiviral activity. Despite the difficulty in isolating individual tautomers, it can be directly observed in single-molecule experiments. We show that the tautomerization of single hypericin molecules in free space is observed as an abrupt flipping of the image pattern accompanied with fluorescence intensity fluctuations, which are not correlated with lifetime changes. Moreover, the study can be extended to a λ/2 Fabry–Pérot microcavity. The modification of the local photonic environment by a microcavity is well simulated with a theoretical model that shows good agreement with the experimental data. Inside a microcavity, the excited state lifetime and fluorescence intensity of single hypericin molecules are correlated, and a distinct jump of the lifetime and fluorescence intensity reveals the temporal behavior of the tautomerization with high sensitivity and high temporal resolution. The observed changes are also consistent with time-dependent density functional theory calculations. Our approach paves the way to monitor and even control reactions for a wider range of molecules at the single molecule level.