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Real estate markets are known to fluctuate. The real estate market in Stuttgart, Germany, has been booming for more than a decade: square-meter price hit top levels and real estate agents claim that market prices will continue to increase. In this paper, we test this market understanding by developing and analyzing a system dynamics model that depicts the Stuttgart real estate market. Simulating the model explains oscillating behavior arising from significant time delays and endogenous feedback structures – and not necessarily oscillating interest rates, as market experts assume. Scenarios provide insights into the system's behavior reacting to changes exogenous to the model. The first scenario tests the market development under increasing interest rates. The other scenario deals with possible effects on the real estate market if the regional automotive economy suffers from intense competition with new market players entering with alternative fuel vehicles and new technologies. With a policy run we test market structure changes to eliminate cyclical effects. The paper confirms that the business cycle in the Stuttgart real estate market arises from within the system's underlying structure, thus emphasizing the importance of understanding feedback structures.
Rapidly growing population and increasing amount of shipments induced by the e-commerce are two of the main reasons for the constantly rising urban freight traffic. Cities are therefore overwhelmed by a growing stream of goods and the available infrastructure, shared between people and goods traffic, often reached its maximum capacity. Phenomena such as traffic congestion, pollution and lack of space are direct consequences of this trend and their impact on the quality of life in the city is not negligible. City administrations are keen to evaluate innovative city logistics concepts and adopt alternative solutions, to overcome the challenges posed by such a dynamic environment, constrained in existing infrastructure. In this paper, a heuristic method based on the utility analysis is presented. Thanks to a modular approach accounting for stakeholders´ requirements, possible different scenarios and available technologies, the development of new city logistic concepts is supported. The proposed method is then applied to a case study concerning the city of Reutlingen (Germany). Results are presented and a brief discussion leads to the conclusion.
Model-guided Therapy and Surgical Workflow Systems are two interrelated research fields, which have been developed separately in the last years. To make full use of both technologies, it is necessary to integrate them and connect them to Hospital Information Systems. We propose a framework for integration of Model-guided Therapy in Hospital Information Systems based on the Electronic Medical Record, and a taskbased Workflow Management System, which is suitable for clinical end users. Two prototypes - one based on Business Process Modeling Language, one based on the serum-board - are presented. From the experience with these prototypes, we developed a novel personalized visualization system for Surgical Workflows and Model-guided Therapy. Key challenges for further development are automated situation detection and a common communication infrastructure.
The production environment experiences copious challenges, but likewise discovers many new potential opportunities. To meet the new requirements, caused by the developments towards mass-customization, human-robot-cooperation (HRC) was identified as a key piece of technology and is becoming more and more important. HRC combines the strengths of robots, such as reliability, endurance and repeatability, with the strengths of humans, for instance flexibility and decision-making skills. Notwithstanding the high potential of HRC applications, the technology has not achieved a breakthrough in production so far. Studies have shown that one of the biggest obstacles for implementing HRC is the allocation of tasks. Another key technology that offers various opportunities to improve the production environment is Artificial Intelligence (AI). Therefore, this paper describes an AI supported method to improve the work organization in HRC in regards to the task-allocation. The aim of this method is to build a dynamic, semi-autonomous group work environment which keeps not just employee motivation at a high level, but also the product quality due to a decreased failure rate. The AI helps to detect the perfect condition in which the employee delivers the best performance and also supports at identifying the time when the worker leaves this optimal state. As soon as the employee reaches this trigger event, the allocation of the tasks adapts based on the identified stress. This adaptation aims to return the employee to the state of the optimal performance. In order to realize such a dynamic allocation, this method describes the creation of a pool with various interaction scenarios, as well as the AI supported recognition of the defined trigger event.
Today's logistics systems are characterized by uncertainty and constantly changing requirements. Rising demand for customized products, short product life cycles and a large number of variants increases the complexity of these systems enormously. In particular, intralogistics material flow systems must be able to adapt to changing conditions at short notice, with little effort and at low cost. To fulfil these requirements, the material flow system needs to be flexible in three important parameters, namely layout, throughput and product. While the scope of the flexibility parameters is described in literature, the respective effects on an intralogistics material flow system and the influencing factors are mostly unknown. This paper describes how flexibility parameters of an intralogistics system can be determined using a multi-method simulation. The study was conducted in the learning factory “Werk150” on the campus of Reutlingen University with its different means of transport and processes and validated in terms of practical experiments.
Our paper gives first answers on a fundamental question: how can the design of architectures of intelligent digital systems and services be accomplished methodologically? Intelligent systems and services are the goals of many current digitalization efforts today and part of massive digital transformation efforts based on digital technologies. Digital systems and services are the foundation of digital platforms and ecosystems. Digtalization disrupts existing businesses, technologies, and economies and promotes the architecture of open environments. This has a strong impact on new value-added opportunities and the development of intelligent digital systems and services. Digital technologies such as artificial intelligence, the Internet of Things, services computing, cloud computing, big data with analytics, mobile systems, and social enterprise networks systems are important enablers of digitalization. The current publication presents our research on the architecture of intelligent digital ecosystems and products and services influenced by the service-dominant logic. We present original methodological extensions and a new reference model for digital architectures with an integral service and value perspective to model intelligent systems and services that effectively align digital strategies and architectures with artificial intelligence as main elements to support intelligent digitalization.
Automatic classification of rotating machinery defects using Machine Learning (ML) algorithms
(2020)
Electric machines and motors have been the subject of enormous development. New concepts in design and control allow expanding their applications in different fields. The vast amount of data have been collected almost in any domain of interest. They can be static; that is to say, they represent real-world processes at a fixed point of time. Vibration analysis and vibration monitoring, including how to detect and monitor anomalies in vibration data are widely used techniques for predictive maintenance in high-speed rotating machines. However, accurately identifying the presence of a bearing fault can be challenging in practice, especially when the failure is still at its incipient stage, and the signal-to-noise ratio of the monitored signal is small. The main objective of this work is to design a system that will analyze the vibration signals of a rotating machine, based on recorded data from sensors, in the time/frequency domain. As a consequence of such substantial interest, there has been a dramatic increase of interest in applying Machine Learning (ML) algorithms to this task. An ML system will be used to classify and detect abnormal behavior and recognize the different levels of machine operation modes. The proposed solution can be deployed as predictive maintenance for Industry 4.0.
Job advertisements are important means of communicating role expectations for management accountants to the labor market. They provide information about which roles of management accountants are sought by companies or which roles are expected. However, which roles are communicated in job advertisements is unknown so far. Using a large sample of 889 job ads and a text-mining approach, we show an apparent mix of different role types with a strong focus on a rather classic role: the watchdog role. However, individuals with business partner characteristics are more often sought for leadership positions or in family businesses and small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs). The results challenge the current role discussion for management accountants as business partners in practice and some academic fields.
As "the most international company on earth", DHL Express promised to deliver packages between almost any pair of countries within a defined time-frame. To fulfill this promise, the company had introduced a set of global business and technology standards. While standardization had many advantages (improving service for multinational customers, faster response to changes in import/export regulations, sharing of best practices etc.), it created impediments to local innovation and responsiveness in DHL Express' network of 220 countries/territories. Reconciling standardization-innovation tradeoffs is a critical management issue for global companies in the digital economy.
This case describes one large, successful company's approach to the tradeoff of standardization versus innovation.
Indoor localization systems are becoming more and more important with the digitalization of the industrial sector. Sensor data such as the current position of machines, transport vehicles, goods or tools represent an essential component of cyber physical production systems (CCPS). However, due to the high costs of these sensors, they are not widespread and are used mainly in special scenarios. However, especially optical indoor positioning systems (OIPS) based on cameras have certain advantages due to their technological specifications. In this paper, the application scenarios and requirements as well as their characteristics are presented and a classification approach of OIPS is introduced.