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It is assumed that more education leads to better understanding of complex systems. Some researchers claim, however, find indications that simple mechanisms like stocks and flows are not well understood even by people who have passed higher education. In this paper, we test people’s understanding of complex systems with the widely studied stock-and-flow (SF) tasks (Booth Sweeney and Sterman 2000). SF tasks assess people’s understanding of the interplay between stocks and flows. We investigate SF failure of domain experts and novices in different knowledge domains. In particular, we compare performance on the original study’s Bathtub task with the square wave pattern (Booth Sweeney and Sterman 2000) with two alternative cover stories from the engineering and business domains on different groups of business and engineering students from different semesters. Further, we show that, while engineering students perform better than business students, with progressing in higher education, students seem to lose the capability of dealing with simple SF tasks from domains other than their field. We thus find hints on déformation professionelle in higher education.
The financial crisis of 2007-2010 was probably one of the greatest, most lustrous black-swan events that people of our generation(s) will experience – and at its heart, it was a dynamic phenomenon. It is stated in the vision of the System Dynamics Society that we aspire to transform society by influencing decision-making. Yet, it seems as if system dynamics did not play any significant role in this crisis: we did not examine the markets, we did not provide insights to banks, and we did not warn governments or the people. In our presentation we describe the dynamics involved in a housing bubble, and describe what made the last one different. With the insights gained from this exercise we conclude that, from a system dynamics perspective, the dimension of the financial crisis of 2007-2009 was eminently foreseeable, which will lead us to pose the following question: where were we as a field while this crisis was unfolding, why were we not active players? We present a range of potential answers to this question, hoping to provoke some reflection… and maybe some (re)action.
Wasted paradise – imagining the Maldives without the garbage island of Thilafushi : Version 1.2
(2016)
To address the high level of waste production in the Maldives, the local government decided to transform the coral island of Thilafushi into an immense waste dumb in 1992. Meanwhile, each day, 330 tons of waste is ferried to Thilafushi. The policy had the positive consequence of relieving the garbage burden in Malé, the main island, and surrounding tourist atolls. However, it can also lead to serious environmental and economic damage in the long range. First, the garbage is in visual range of one of the most prominent tourist destinations. Second, if the wind blows a certain way, unfiltered fumes from burning waste travels to tourist atolls. Third, water quality can erode as hazardous waste from batteries and other toxic waste is floating in the ocean. Over time, these effects can accumulate to significantly hamper the number of tourists that travel to the Maldives – one of the state’s main sources of financial income. In our paper, we lay out the situation in more detail and translate it into a simulation model. We test different policies to propose the Maldives government how to better solve the waste problem.
Sleep is an important aspect in life of every human being. The average sleep duration for an adult is approximately 7 h per day. Sleep is necessary to regenerate physical and psychological state of a human. A bad sleep quality has a major impact on the health status and can lead to different diseases. In this paper an approach will be presented, which uses a long-term monitoring of vital data gathered by a body sensor during the day and the night supported by mobile application connected to an analyzing system, to estimate sleep quality of its user as well as give recommendations to improve it in real-time. Actimetry and historical data will be used to improve the individual recommendations, based on common techniques used in the area of machine learning and big data analysis.
Saving energy and protecting the environment became fundamental for society and politics, why several laws were enacted to increase the energy-efficiency. Furthermore, the growing number of vehicles and drivers leaded to more accidents and fatalities on the roads, why road safety became an important factor as well. Due to the increasing importance of energy-efficiency and safety, car manufacturers started to optimise the vehicle in terms of energy-effciency and safety. However, energy-efficiency and road safety can be also increased by adapting the driving behaviour to the given driving situation. This thesis presents a concept of an adaptive and rule based driving system that tries to educate the driver in energy-efficient and safe driving by showing recommendations on time. Unlike existing driving-systems, the presented driving system considers energy-efficiency and safety relevant driving rules, the individual driving behaviour and the driver condition. This allows to avoid the distraction of the driver and to increase the acceptance of the driving system, while improving the driving behaviour in terms of energy-efficiency and safety. A prototype of the driving system was developed and evaluated. The evaluation was done on a driving simulator using 42 test drivers, who tested the effect of the driving system on the driving behaviour and the effect of the adaptiveness of the driving system on the user acceptance. It has been proven during the evaluation that the energy-efficiency and safety can be increased, when the driving system was used. Furthermore, it has been proven that the user acceptance of the driving system increases when the adaptive feature was turned on. A high user acceptance of the driving system allows a steady usage of the driving system and, thus, a steady improvement of the driving behaviour in terms of energy-efficiency and safety.
This article highlights three major outcomes from global employability surveys about the topic of gender diversity. Students and graduates of two master programs at ESB Business School of Reutlingen University in Germany were asked about their study programs, their expected and their realized career paths, and their individual well-being. This article highlights selected gender differences that were discovered in the analysis and underlines results on specific gender issues. The three major outcomes are: firstly, men and women work in different industries, functions, and leadership positions; secondly, there is a potential for unfulfilled expectations of young managers regarding their achievement of certain positions and the realization of their private goals; thirdly, by looking at the graduates’ career paths in combination with their well-being, a low level of satisfaction with work-life balance and high levels of stress could be identified. The results give valuable insights into the conceptual world of students at the beginning of their career and as future managers. Looking at gender differences and gender issues leads to interesting findings which can be used for further research and discussions at ESB Business School. By contrasting the outcomes of the alumni survey with outcomes of the student survey, significant differences between the awareness of students and the reality of the graduates concerning gender diversity issues were discovered. The disclosed gap between students’ expectations and the real-life situations of the alumni indicates further areas for discussion. One major question is how students can cope with these challenges and issues of gender diversity management in future management positions as (female) managers while taking corporate social responsibility into consideration.
Die zunehmende Durchdringung von cyber-physischen Systemen und deren Vernetzung zu cyberphysischen Produktionssystemen (CPPS) führt zu fundamentalen Veränderungen von zukünftigen Montage-, Fertigungs- und Logistiksystemen, welche innovative Methoden zur Planung, Steuerung und Kontrolle von wandlungsfähigen Produktionssystemen erfordern. Zukünftige logistische Systeme werden dabei den Anforderungen einer hochfrequenten Veränderung und Re-Konfiguration ausgelöst durch wandlungsfähige Produktionssysteme für individualisierte Produkte und kleinen Losgrößen unterliegen. Der Einsatz dezentraler Steuerungssysteme, bei denen die komplexen Planungs-, Steuerungs- und Kontrollprozesse auf zahlreiche Knoten und Entitäten des entstehenden Steuerungssystems verteilt werden, bietet ein großes Potential, den Anforderungen in cyber-physischen Logistiksystemen gerecht zu werden. Eine zentrale Herausforderung ist dabei die echtzeitfähige Steuerung und Re-Konfiguration von sogenannten hybriden Logistiksystemen, welche u.a. durch die Kollaboration von Mensch und Maschine, der Kombination verschiedenartiger Fördermittel sowie verschiedenartiger Steuerungsarchitekturen geprägt sind und darüber hinaus auf hybriden Entscheidungsfindungsprozessen beruhen, welche die Fähigkeiten von Menschen und (cyber-physischen) Systemen synergetisch nutzen.
Lernfabriken, wie die ESB Logistik-Lernfabrik an der ESB Business School (Hochschule Reutlingen), bieten dabei weitreichende Möglichkeiten, diese innovativen Methoden, Systeme und technischen Lösungen in einer industrienahen und risikofreien Fabrikumgebung zu entwickeln sowie in die Ausbildung von Studierenden und Weiterbildung von Teilnehmern aus der Industrie zu transferieren. Um die Forschung, Lehre sowie Aus- und Weiterbildung im Bereich zukünftiger Montage-, Fertigungs- und Logistiksysteme auszuweiten, wird das bestehende Produktionssystem der ESB Logistik-Lernfabrik im Rahmen verschiedenster Forschungs- und Studentenprojekte schrittweise in ein dezentral gesteuertes cyber-physisches Produktionssystem, basierend auf einer ereignisorientierten, cloud-basierten und dezentralen Steuerungsarchitektur, überführt.
In this study, a novel strategy has been developed for the assembly of polyelectrolyte multilayer (PEM) on CaCO3 templates in acidic pH solutions, where consecutive polyelectrolyte layers (heparin/poly(allylamine hydrochloride) or heparin/chitosan) were deposited on PEM hollow microcapsules established previously on CaCO3 templates. The PEM build-up, hollow capsule characterization and successful encapsulation of fluorescein 5(6)-isothiocyanate (FITC)-Dextran by coprecipitation with CaCO3 are demonstrated. Improvement by the removal of CaCO3 core was achieved while the depositions. In the course of the release profile, high retardation for encapsulated FITC-Dextran was observed. The combined shell capsules system is a significant trait that has potential use in tailoring functional layer-by-layer capsules as intelligent drug delivery vehicles where the preliminary in vitro tests showed the responsiveness on the enzymes.
An integrated synchronous buck converter with a high resolution dead time control for input voltages up to 48V and 10MHz switching frequency is presented. The benefit of an enhanced dead time control at light loads to enable zero voltage switching at both the high-side and low-side switch at low output load is studied. This way, compact multi-MHz DCDC converters can be implemented at high efficiency over a wide load current range. The concept also eliminates body diode forward conduction losses and minimizes reverse recovery losses. A dead time resolution of 125 ps is realized by an 8-bit differential delay chain. A further efficiency enhancement by soft switching at the high-side switch at light load is achieved with a voltage boost of the switching node by dead time control in forced continuous conduction mode. The monolithic converter is implemented in an 180nm high-voltage BiCMOS technology. At V IN = 48V, V OUT = 5V, 50mA load, 10MHz switching frequency and 500 nH output inductance, the efficiency is measured to be increased by 14.4% compared to a conventional predictive dead time control. A peak efficiency of 80.9% is achieved at 12V input.
Die zunehmende erneuerbare Stromerzeugung erfordert Anstrengungen, um den damit verbundenen Angebotsschwankungen und der zusätzlichen Netzbelastung entgegen zu wirken. Eine dezentrale und am Bedarf orientierte Stromerzeugung mittels Kraft-Wärme-Kopplung (KWK) kann hier einen wesentlichen Beitrag leisten, um eine sichere und konstante Stromversorgung zu gewährleisten und die Netze zu entlasten. Zu diesem Zweck ist jedoch ein Steuerungssystem erforderlich, das die KWK-Anlagen in die Lage versetzt, sowohl die Deckung des Wärmebedarfs im Objekt aufrecht zu erhalten, als auch die elektrische Energie genau zu den Zeiten zu erzeugen, in denen sie benötigt wird. Die Entkopplung von Stromerzeugung und Deckung des Wärmebedarfs kann dabei über den standardmäßig vorhandenen Wärmespeicher erfolgen. Dieser stellt damit das zentrale Element der Gesamtanlage dar, für die das Steuerungssystem zur Eigenstromoptimierung im Rahmen des Forschungsvorhabens entwickelt und erprobt wurde.