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Forecasting demand is challenging. Various products exhibit different demand patterns. While demand may be constant and regular for one product, it may be sporadic for another, as well as when demand occurs, it may fluctuate significantly. Forecasting errors are costly and result in obsolete inventory or unsatisfied demand. Methods from statistics, machine learning, and deep learning have been used to predict such demand patterns. Nevertheless, it is not clear for what demand pattern, which algorithm would achieve the best forecast. Therefore, even today a large number of models are used to forecast on a test period. The model with the best result on the test period is used for the actual forecast. This approach is computationally and time intensive and, in most cases, uneconomical. In our paper we show the possibility to use a machine learning classification algorithm, which predicts the best possible model based on the characteristics of a time series. The approach was developed and evaluated on a dataset from a B2B-technical-retailer. The machine learning classification algorithm achieves a mean ROC-AUC of 89%, which emphasizes the skill of the model.
Machine learning (ML) techniques are rapidly evolving, both in academia and practice. However, enterprises show different maturity levels in successfully implementing ML techniques. Thus, we review the state of adoption of ML in enterprises. We find that ML technologies are being increasingly adopted in enterprises, but that small and medium-size enterprises (SME) are struggling with the introduction in comparison to larger enterprises. In order to identify enablers and success factors we conduct a qualitative empirical study with 18 companies in different industries. The results show that especially SME fail to apply ML technologies due to insufficient ML knowhow. However, partners and appropriate tools can compensate this lack of resources. We discuss approaches to bridge the gap for SME.
Im Rahmen der wissenschaftlichen Vertiefung an der Hochschule Reutlingen befasst sich diese Arbeit mit der Untersuchung der Anforderungen und der Machbarkeit zur computergestützten Erkennung der Deutschen Gebärdensprache (DGS) und des deutschen Fingeralphabets. Die Erkenntnisse aus dieser Arbeit dienen als Grundlage zur Entwicklung eines Systems zur Übersetzung von Gebärden der DGS oder des Fingeralphabets in die deutsche Schriftsprache. Zunächst werden grundlegende Informationen zu Geschichte, Aufbau und Grammatik der DGS und des Fingeralphabets aufgeführt. Die Erkennung der Gebärden soll durch optische Bewegungssensoren erfolgen. Hierfür werden unterschieliche Sensortypen betrachtet und verglichen. Im weiteren Verlauf erfolgt die Analyse der benutzerspezifischen und technischen Anforderungen. Erstere basieren auf der Befragung einer Fokusgruppe aus gehörlosen und hörenden Menschen aus dem Bereich der Gehörlosen-, Schwerhörigen- und Sprachbehindertenpädagogik. Abgeleitet aus den Informationen der Anforderungsanalyse ergibt sich, bis zu einem gewissen Grad, die Machbarkeit aus technischer und benutzerspezifischer Sicht. Abschließend erfolgen die Zusammenfassung der Anforderungen, welche an das zu entwickelnde System gestllt werden, sowie eine Handlungsempfehlung für die Entwicklung eines Prototyps.
The basic idea behind a wearable robotic grasp assistancesystem is to support people that suffer from severe motor impairments in daily activities. Such a system needs to act mostly autonomously and according to the user’s intent. Vision-based hand pose estimation could be an integral part of a larger control and assistance framework. In this paper we evaluate the performance of egocentric monocular hand pose estimation for a robot-controlled hand exoskeleton in a simulation. For hand pose estimation we adopt a Convolutional Neural Network (CNN). We train and evaluate this network with computer graphics, created by our own data generator. In order to guide further design decisions we focus in our experiments on two egocentric camera viewpoints tested on synthetic data with the help of a 3D-scanned hand model, with and without an exoskeleton attached to it.We observe that hand pose estimation with a wrist-mounted camera performs more accurate than with a head-mounted camera in the context of our simulation. Further, a grasp assistance system attached to the hand alters visual appearance and can improve hand pose estimation. Our experiment provides useful insights for the integration of sensors into a context sensitive analysis framework for intelligent assistance.
Additive Manufacturing is increasingly used in the industrial sector as a result of continuous development. In the Production Planning and Control (PPC) system, AM enables an agile response in the area of detailed and process planning, especially for a large number of plants. For this purpose, a concept for a PPC system for AM is presented, which takes into account the requirements for integration into the operational enterprise software system. The technical applicability will be demonstrated by individual implemented sections. The presented solution approach promises a more efficient utilization of the plants and a more elastic use.
The blockchain technology enables a common data basis between the participants. Entries are logged and the authenticity of the participants is guaranteed. In the case of a relationship between customers and producers, this would lead to verifiable cooperation, which would be a major step as companies enter into service contracts based on the flow of many small transactions through communication. This paper proposes an architecture that enables the creation and processing of orders between the customer and producers via a blockchain based production network. The handling of larger files which are traceable via the blockchain is also shown and the use of a public or permissioned blockchain for an application case is also considered.
Additive manufacturing (AM) is a promising manufacturing method for many industrial sectors. For this application, industrial requirements such as high production volumes and coordinated implementation must be taken into account. These tasks of the internal handling of production facilities are carried out by the Production Planning and Control (PPC) information system. A key factor in the planning and scheduling is the exact calculation of manufacturing times. For this purpose we investigate the use of Machine Learning (ML) for the prediction of manufacturing times of AM facilities.
Long-term stability of membranes in membrane distillation operation is a problem nowadays which prevents the industrial breakthrough of this separation process. Fouling or slow pore wetting are the basic reasons for this.
Membrane distillation membranes were made by NIPS process rendering the membrane asymmetrically to achieve low permeation resistance and pores which can be over coated with polyelectrolyte polymers thus leading to thermopervaporation membranes. Those membranes prohibit pore wetting and may strongly reduce resorption of organic substances on for membrane distillation typically used hydrophobic surfaces thus leading to longterm operation stability in dewatering including stable membrane cleaning.
Asymmetric PVDF membranes have been coated with cation exchange polyelectrolyte leading to a very thin, defect-free layer which has a high permeation rate for water due to the domain structure of phase-separated hydrophilic and hydrophobic three-dimensional structures.
The performance and scalability of modern data-intensive systems are limited by massive data movement of growing datasets across the whole memory hierarchy to the CPUs. Such traditional processor-centric DBMS architectures are bandwidth- and latency-bound. Processing-in-Memory (PIM) designs seek to overcome these limitations by integrating memory and processing functionality on the same chip. PIM targets near- or in-memory data processing, leveraging the greater in-situ parallelism and bandwidth.
In this paper, we introduce pimDB and provide an initial comparison of processor-centric and PIM-DBMS approaches under different aspects, such as scalability and parallelism, cache-awareness, or PIM-specific compute/bandwidth tradeoffs. The evaluation is performed end-to-end on a real PIM hardware system from UPMEM.
Even though near-data processing (NDP) can provably reduce data transfers and increase performance, current NDP is solely utilized in read-only settings. Slow or tedious to implement synchronization and invalidation mechanisms between host and smart storage make NDP support for data-intensive update operations difficult. In this paper, we introduce a low-latency cache-coherent shared lock table for update NDP settings in disaggregated memory environments. It utilizes the novel CCIX interconnect technology and is integrated in neoDBMS, a near-data processing DBMS for smart storage. Our evaluation indicates end-to-end lock latencies of ∼80-100ns and robust performance under contention.
Multi-versioning and MVCC are the foundations of many modern DBMSs. Under mixed workloads and large datasets, the creation of the transactional snapshot can become very expensive, as long-running analytical transactions may request old versions, residing on cold storage, for reasons of transactional consistency. Furthermore, analytical queries operate on cold data, stored on slow persistent storage. Due to the poor data locality, snapshot creation may cause massive data transfers and thus lower performance. Given the current trend towards computational storage and near-data processing, it has become viable to perform such operations in-storage to reduce data transfers and improve scalability. neoDBMS is a DBMS designed for near-data processing and computational storage. In this paper, we demonstrate how neoDBMS performs snapshot computation in-situ. We showcase different interactive scenarios, where neoDBMS outperforms PostgreSQL 12 by up to 5×.
This work is a report on practical experiences with the issue of interoperability in German practice management systems (PMSs) from an ongoing clinical trial on teledermatology, the TeleDerm project. A proprietary and established web-platform for store-and-forward telemedicine is integrated with the IT in the GPs’ offices for automatic exchange of basic patient data. Most of the 19 different PMSs included in the study sample lack support of modern health data exchange standards, therefore the relatively old but widely available German health data exchange interface “Gerätedatentransfer” (GDT) is used. Due to the lack of enforcement and regulation of the GDT standard, several obstacles to interoperability are encountered. As a partial, but reusable working solution to cope with these issues, we present a custom middleware which is used in conjunction with GDT. We describe the design, technical implementation and observed hindrances with the existing infrastructure. A discussion on health care interfacing standards and the current state of interoperability in German PMS software is given.
The design process for a single phase, smart, universal charger for light electric vehicles, is presented. With a step up, power factor correction circuit, followed by a phase shifted, full bridge converter, with synchronous rectification on the secondary side. Due to the resistor-capacitor-diode snubber on the secondary side, the current peak at the start of power transfer, leads to false triggering during light load control with peak current mode control. The solution developed for light loads, is to change from peak current control to voltage control. This is achieved by limiting the maximum phase shift, instead of changing the reference value. For the power factor correction stage, measured and calculated efficiencies are compared as a function of the output power. The voltage and current waveforms are shown for the power factor correction circuit, and for the phase shifted bridge, the measured current waveform is compared with simulation.
Motivation
In order to enable context-aware behavior of surgical assistance systems, the acquisition of various information about the current intraoperative situation is crucial. To achieve this, the complex task of situation recognition can be delegated to a specialized system. Consequently, a standardized interface is required for the seamless transfer of the recognized contextual information to the assistance systems, enabling them to adapt accordingly.
Methods
Our group analyzed four medical interface standards to determine their suitability for exchanging intraoperative contextual information. The assessment was based on a harmonized data and service model derived from the requirements of expected context-aware use cases. The Digital Imaging and Communications in Medicine (DICOM) and IEEE 11073 for Service-oriented Device Connectivity (SDC) were identified as the most appropriate standards.
Results
We specified how DICOM Unified Procedure Steps (UPS), can be used to effectively communicate contextual information. We proposed the inclusion of attributes to formalize different granularity levels of the surgical workflow.
Conclusions
DICOM UPS SOP classes can be used for the exchange of intraoperative contextual information between a situation recognition system and surgical assistance systems. This can pave the way for vendor-independent context awareness in the OR, leading to targeted assistance of the surgical team and an improvement of the surgical workflow.
Large critical systems, such as those created in the space domain, are usually developed by a large number of organizations and, furthermore, they have to comply with standards. Yet, the different stakeholders often do not have a common understanding of the needed quality of requirements specifications. Achieving such a common understanding is a laborious process that is currently not sufficiently supported. Moreover, such a common understanding must be aligned with the standards. In this paper, we present an approach that can be used to align the different stakeholder perceptions regarding the quality of requirements specifications. Existing quality models for requirements specifications are analyzed for equivalences, and transferred into a common representation, the so-called Aligned Quality Map (AQM). Furthermore, a process is defined that supports the alignment of different stakeholder perspectives with regard to the quality of requirements specifications using AQM, which is validated in a case study in the context of European space projects. AQM has been created and populated with an initial set of quality models. It is designed in such way that it can be extended to include further quality models. The case study has shown that an alignment of different stakeholder perspectives and the quality model of the European Cooperation for Space Standardization using AQM is feasible. The approach allows for aligning different stakeholder perspectives for a common understanding of the quality of requirements specifications in the context of standards. Furthermore, AQM supports the assessment of requirements specifications.
This paper investigates the possibility to effectively monitor and control the respiratory action using a very simple and non invasive technique based on a single lightweight reduced-size wireless surface electromyography (sEMG) sensor placed below the sternum. The captured sEMG signal, due to the critical sensor position, is characterized by a low energy level and it is affected by motion artifacts and cardiac noise. In this work we present a preliminary study performed on adults for assessing the correlation of the spirometry signal and the sEMG signal after the removal of the superimposed heart signal. This study and the related findings could be useful in respiratory monitoring of preterm infants.
Electromigration (EM) is becoming a progressively severe reliability challenge due to increased interconnect current densities. A shift from traditional (post-layout) EM verification to robust (pro-active) EM aware design - where the circuit layout is designed with individual EM-robust solutions - is urgently needed. This tutorial will give an overview of EM and its effects on the reliability of present and future integrated circuits (ICs). We introduce the physical EM process and present its specific characteristics that can be affected during physical design. Examples of EM countermeasures which are applied in today’s commercial design flows are presented. We show how to improve the EM-robustness of metallization patterns and we also consider mission proiles to obtain application-oriented current density limits. The increasing interaction of EM with thermal migration is investigated as well. We conclude with a discussion of application examples to shift from the current post layout EM verification towards an EM aware physical design process. Its methodologies, such as EM-aware routing, increase the EM-robustness of the layout with the overall goal of reducing the negative impact of EM on the circuit’s reliability.
In the luxury Fashion industry, consumers could be categorized into two groups: fashion leader and Fashion follower. Both groups of consumers purchase luxury fashion products aim at satisfying both their functional needs and social needs (i.e., social influence). Thus the demands of both consumer groups are related. In this paper, we construct a model to examine the effects of pricing and online retail service in luxury fashion firms with social influence. To maximize profit, we identify the optimal prices and online retail service when the luxury fashion firms provide the non-differentiated and differentiated online retail services, respectively. More insights are discussed.
Smart meter based business models for the electricity sector : a systematical literature research
(2017)
The Act on the Digitization of the Energy Transition forces German industries and households to introduce smart meters in order to save engery, to gain individual based electricity tariffs and to digitize the energy data flow. Smart meter can be regarded as the advancement of the traditional meter. Utilizing this new technology enables a wide range of innovative business models that provide additional value for the electricity suppliers as well as for their customers. In this study, we followed a two-step approach. At first, we provide a state-of-the-art comparison of these business models found in the literature and identify structural differences in the way they add value to the offered products and services. Secondly, the business models are grouped into categories with respect to customer segmetns and the added value to the smart grid. Findings indicate that most business models focus on the end-costumer as their main customer.